Let's play the earnings call game... Buying Redhat (RHT)

Redhat announced that they bested earnings expectations by 7%. Quarterly earnings calls almost always come with a fun shift in the stock price: up for beat expectations, down for missed expectations. Naturally, this is an oversimplification. A stock's last few quarter's performance, it's market capitalization, the amount by which it missed or exceeded and of course, random market entropy all come into play.

But it's typically one of the safer bets you can make.

I'm hoping for a 5-10% bump and I'll roundtrip it if it gets anywhere near to that. After hours pushed +1.27 / 7.24% already, so the most of what we'll see may have already come and I could be buying into a sell off. Or we could see some shorts covered and a nice spike that nets me a small profit.

I'm only buying $1,000 worth, since that's all I have in "liquidity". In fact, I don't even have that; I have $500 in settled funds and another $500 in unsettled, pending funds. (From today's GOOG & AAPL sales.) The Federal Reserve's Regulation T requires me to have the funds settled before I can buy and then sell a new set of securities with the proceeds of an earlier sale.

Example: While I can buy 29 shares of RHT with the proceeds from my GOOG/AAPL sales, I cannot sell the position until the sales have settled, in three days. If I do, it's considered "free-riding" and it's a no-no; two instances locks an account for 90 days. I'm willing to take one instance to get a nice profit in.

I'm also completing a margin application, since you can get around this provision with a margin account.

The other thing I need to watch out for is the pattern day trading rules. If I perform 4 roundtrips (in and out of a position in the same day) within any 5 day period, my account converts to a "pattern day trader" account, which requires a minimum equity amount of $25,000. The punchline? They issue a fucking trading equity call for the difference if you don't have the $25,000. Or they close your account. Woo regulations.

Bear Stearns bump & the exhiliration of day trading: Buy at open, sell at resistance, make 27.7% profit!

Action	Qty	Symbol	Price	Total			Trade Date	Time Completed
SELL	74	BSC	$12.64	$935.34			3/24/2008	10:24:52 AM
SELL	130	BSC	$12.6674	$1,639.74			3/24/2008	10:24:52 AM
BUY	204	BSC	$9.85	$2,016.40			3/24/2008	9:57:54 AM

To summarize, in for $2,016.40, out at $2,575.38 for a shared profit of $558.98 or $279.49 (27.7%) for my brother and I, each. Woot.

I couldn't get in to pre-market trading levels; by the time I woke up at 6:20a (9:20 EST), it was trading at ~$9.91. (And my money transfer hadn't completed yet.) Was forced to enter in at $10.70 because that's where the ask was, so I placed my order for 204 shares at market. Trading was halted on BSC for the first 27 minutes, which completely freaked me out, since I placed my market order at exactly 9:30:00 and just saw it hang.

I know I said I wouldn't buy above $8.50, but I knew there would be covering shorts and other excitement. I didn't expect the halt and that scared me a bit, but then they lifted it and my trade went through at $9.85. I watched it start to bounce and news came through that the deal with JPM seemed solid at $10/share. Good, I made at least 15 cents a share in almost any event. At the very least, we weren't going to see another offer come through at less than that value, or at less than my $9.85.

Then something interesting started happening: the stock upticked like crazy. I'm guessing a combination of covering shorts, an even slightly (or immensely) bigger deal coming or some insanity pushed the stock all the way up to the $13 range. I saw it start to dip and bounce off of a resistance point of about $13, so I exited the position at market, which was fulfilled in two blocks: 74 @ 12.64 and 130 @ 12.667. (It *briefly* spiked to $13.85, which means that if you had gotten in at pre-market around $6.40... well, damn.)

All in all a good showing of $279.49 on $1,008.20 invested, *after* commissions.

I'm going to pull my $1,000 back out since it was from my savings and not part of my active trading cash. I'll ask my brother what he wants to do with his. Good times. I can see how this is addictive. Now, if an offer comes through for $25/share or some such, it'd have been crazy to still be in so I won't feel bad. There are far too many "what ifs" in this game to beat yourself up over it for more than just a few minutes. It's trading around $12.05 now (8:14/11:14a) but I'm happy where I exited.