Damn. 17% in aftermarket from $445 to $525. Should've jumped on board, but it was looking kinda scary with their new quality controls. Be greedy when others are fearful, though...
ABT is just festering for no good reason. I'm going to hold it a few more days and then dump it if we don't get Xience news. Sad that it beats expectations, beats guidance and posts strong numbers and still drops. Worse still that it's doing this in the midst of plenty of other pharmas posting bad numbers and it's not able to pick up slack from them.
Still waiting on Amkor news from TSRA... Still have high hopes.
I think I'm going to buy into AAPL for next week's earnings call and go long, perhaps for the trip. We'll see how risky I'm feeling. For now, I'm still down about $100 total. Kinda sucks. (The Coverstor shows the return on my brother's in-and-out movement, so that's why it's showing a positive return.)
Showing posts with label ABT. Show all posts
Showing posts with label ABT. Show all posts
Thursday, April 17, 2008
Wednesday, April 16, 2008
Feeling the burn...
Definitely a painful few days, as I'm now at a net loss of about $150. Awesome.
The market has just taken a drubbing the past few days. It doesn't help that this is "banks tell us how hard they've fucked up" week, with WaMu and a bunch of others writing down and taking losses like crazy. Add to that GE's performance on Friday and my tech and pharma stocks are eating it just from the halo effect.
Intel posted good numbers which should help, Abbott SHOULD get approval for their coated stents, perhaps this week and they announce pre-market today, in about 2-3 hours, I'd imagine. Hopefully good news; all signs point to yes. If they're anything below expectations, I'm pretty rightly fucked.
Rumor abounds that Tessera won the arbitration with Amkor; they're just discussing awards now. That will be huge for them, so I'm holding both these long for now, basically tapping my cash reserves entirely. Need a bounceback here; it's getting brutal and I'm not even in financials, aerospace/airlines or retail. Ugh.
The market has just taken a drubbing the past few days. It doesn't help that this is "banks tell us how hard they've fucked up" week, with WaMu and a bunch of others writing down and taking losses like crazy. Add to that GE's performance on Friday and my tech and pharma stocks are eating it just from the halo effect.
Intel posted good numbers which should help, Abbott SHOULD get approval for their coated stents, perhaps this week and they announce pre-market today, in about 2-3 hours, I'd imagine. Hopefully good news; all signs point to yes. If they're anything below expectations, I'm pretty rightly fucked.
Rumor abounds that Tessera won the arbitration with Amkor; they're just discussing awards now. That will be huge for them, so I'm holding both these long for now, basically tapping my cash reserves entirely. Need a bounceback here; it's getting brutal and I'm not even in financials, aerospace/airlines or retail. Ugh.
Friday, April 11, 2008
This is why you need stop losses...
Today was a bloody day all around and not something I needed to be around for. Let's examine what I did wrong:
I hesitated in setting a stop loss for Tessera at, say, $21. In my mind, if it bounced to $21 again, it was just going to bounce back up and I didn't want to miss the swing up and lose some money. Instead, it tanked right through its support to $20.29. Jesus. Each of those cents it dropped cost me $2. I'm down $206 on $4,058 worth of Tessera, because I didn't set a stop loss.
Tessera isn't dropping on any news. It's not dropping because of a loss of value or patent issues. No, it dropped, like just about everything else today, on news that GE fucked up and didn't hit their estimates. Because GE is such a far-reaching conglomerate and because they have some exposure to subprime with GE Capital/Finance, they double-whammied and took everyone down with them.
Since I want to be in Tessera *anyway*, this was a particularly painful lesson: I should have had a stop loss at $20.90. It would've tunneled right through that before landing where it did and I would've saved $122 of pain. I could've bought my 200 shares back at $20.90 and dodged that pain. But instead, I kept myself from establishing a decent stop loss. It's part art, part science to establish a proper stop loss that will keep me from exiting just as it's about to upswing again. But I needed one today.
Abbott started to dive and kept on going. I should've held off on purchasing ANY stock at the beginning of the day with something as significant as GE's news, especially considering how sterile ABT has been the past few weeks. I'm really hoping things bounce back Monday. I also need to examine stop losses to set now.
I also have a great deal more exposure with 200 shares. A relatively meager bounceback will bring this all back and a spike will boost me quite happily. I'm guessing and hoping TSRA makes it back into the high $21-$22 range next week, on no news.
Meanwhile, I'm still looking for a 19-day strategy. Ideas are welcome.
I hesitated in setting a stop loss for Tessera at, say, $21. In my mind, if it bounced to $21 again, it was just going to bounce back up and I didn't want to miss the swing up and lose some money. Instead, it tanked right through its support to $20.29. Jesus. Each of those cents it dropped cost me $2. I'm down $206 on $4,058 worth of Tessera, because I didn't set a stop loss.
Tessera isn't dropping on any news. It's not dropping because of a loss of value or patent issues. No, it dropped, like just about everything else today, on news that GE fucked up and didn't hit their estimates. Because GE is such a far-reaching conglomerate and because they have some exposure to subprime with GE Capital/Finance, they double-whammied and took everyone down with them.
Since I want to be in Tessera *anyway*, this was a particularly painful lesson: I should have had a stop loss at $20.90. It would've tunneled right through that before landing where it did and I would've saved $122 of pain. I could've bought my 200 shares back at $20.90 and dodged that pain. But instead, I kept myself from establishing a decent stop loss. It's part art, part science to establish a proper stop loss that will keep me from exiting just as it's about to upswing again. But I needed one today.
Abbott started to dive and kept on going. I should've held off on purchasing ANY stock at the beginning of the day with something as significant as GE's news, especially considering how sterile ABT has been the past few weeks. I'm really hoping things bounce back Monday. I also need to examine stop losses to set now.
I also have a great deal more exposure with 200 shares. A relatively meager bounceback will bring this all back and a spike will boost me quite happily. I'm guessing and hoping TSRA makes it back into the high $21-$22 range next week, on no news.
Meanwhile, I'm still looking for a 19-day strategy. Ideas are welcome.
Buying Abbott Laboratories (ABT)...
Lackluster day today. Tessera bounced around and ended low, no big deal, it'll bounce back up tomorrow. Will try to sell in the $22 range.
American Airlines completely surprised me with a BUNCH of short covers and support actually bringing it *up* 7%. Who knew.
Buying Abbott Laboratories in advance of their earnings announcement on the 16th. Could get bitten bad on this: 65 @ 53.91. Hoping to see maybe 3-7% gains, though. Could easily swing down up to 10% on missed expectations, etc. I'll bail if it looks choppy before the call. Shouldn't be an issue though, I think. Pharma is stable if there aren't any massive, unforeseen patent/lawsuit issues and Abbott has had some good news coming their way and little movement elsewhere so let's see if this pans out. Getting on board a good few days before the announcement to allow myself to profit from any gaps. Again, though, it could swing either way.
I'm beginning to look for a short-medium-term strategy for the trip. I'll be gone for a full 19 days and completely out of touch with regards to stock and such. I'm thinking I'll buy into either GOOG or back into BRK, since they're relatively low impact—but GOOG's earnings announcement could affect that a lot. Same with AAPL, but they have both traded really strongly this past month. Not sure if they'll correct back down or not.
American Airlines completely surprised me with a BUNCH of short covers and support actually bringing it *up* 7%. Who knew.
Buying Abbott Laboratories in advance of their earnings announcement on the 16th. Could get bitten bad on this: 65 @ 53.91. Hoping to see maybe 3-7% gains, though. Could easily swing down up to 10% on missed expectations, etc. I'll bail if it looks choppy before the call. Shouldn't be an issue though, I think. Pharma is stable if there aren't any massive, unforeseen patent/lawsuit issues and Abbott has had some good news coming their way and little movement elsewhere so let's see if this pans out. Getting on board a good few days before the announcement to allow myself to profit from any gaps. Again, though, it could swing either way.
I'm beginning to look for a short-medium-term strategy for the trip. I'll be gone for a full 19 days and completely out of touch with regards to stock and such. I'm thinking I'll buy into either GOOG or back into BRK, since they're relatively low impact—but GOOG's earnings announcement could affect that a lot. Same with AAPL, but they have both traded really strongly this past month. Not sure if they'll correct back down or not.
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